Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.601472 1.830778 2.082569 2.379773 2.721283 3.101760 3.558284
2025-08-17 1.195187 1.476494 1.810883 2.238458 2.771864 3.416932 4.258661
2025-08-24 0.970636 1.280098 1.673456 2.211847 2.932400 3.867442 5.179417
2025-08-31 0.801036 1.117595 1.543934 2.162956 3.043760 4.259542 6.078067
2025-09-07 0.717919 1.053328 1.529076 2.257542 3.353078 4.952394 7.488287
2025-09-14 0.639939 0.981945 1.489998 2.305868 3.595478 5.575750 8.886253
2025-09-21 0.563012 0.899346 1.420167 2.293252 3.736914 6.057918 10.129839
2025-09-28 0.484439 0.802340 1.313394 2.204046 3.738194 6.309898 11.024912
2025-10-05 0.454860 0.780177 1.322466 2.303917 4.063164 7.135109 13.016091
2025-10-12 0.430851 0.763678 1.337730 2.414333 4.418223 8.055509 15.311265
2025-10-19 0.400218 0.731296 1.320675 2.463248 4.665954 8.811490 17.406500
2025-10-26 0.371169 0.697924 1.297203 2.495916 4.885045 9.538700 19.548575
2025-11-02 0.330103 0.638257 1.220084 2.420048 4.890918 9.869027 20.971686
2025-11-09 0.288885 0.573384 1.125423 2.297269 4.785710 9.962052 21.910807
2025-11-16 0.264380 0.538667 1.085647 2.280851 4.898719 10.522561 23.963526
2025-11-23 0.239896 0.501053 1.035525 2.235967 4.944004 10.943175 25.766252
2025-11-30 0.231495 0.496016 1.052046 2.336934 5.325400 12.160549 29.644596
2025-12-07 0.219431 0.481630 1.046869 2.388662 5.601217 13.175175 33.199372
2025-12-14 0.203424 0.456661 1.015626 2.376425 5.724369 13.846120 35.998194
2025-12-21 0.183212 0.419897 0.953818 2.284284 5.641041 14.002498 37.478230
2025-12-28 0.178435 0.418264 0.972236 2.388170 6.060143 15.475473 42.763092
2026-01-04 0.174468 0.418063 0.993924 2.502915 6.523345 17.130175 48.849811
2026-01-11 0.166786 0.407982 0.990689 2.553765 6.825526 18.402435 54.064440